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17/2020
 
 
 

 
 
LATESTPUBLICATIONS

Polish Public Opinion

April 2020

Katyń massacre and evaluation of Polish-Russian relations
10 years after the Smoleńsk plane crash
Social trust
Material living conditions before the epidemic


"Opinions and Diagnoses"

no 43
Youth 2018

no 44
Contemporary Polish Family


Reports

Moods of Internet Users in the Third Decade Of April
Opinions about Coronavirus Epidemic and Related Restrictions
Internet Users about Labour Market in the Third Decade of April
Everyday Life in the Time of Plague
Lower, Middle and Upper Class. Characteristics Based on Self‑Identification
Political Party Preferences at the Turn of May and June
Religiousness of Poles in the Last 20 Years
Preferences in Presidential Election at the Turn of May and June
Opinions about Parliament and President
Moods on the Job Market at the Turn of May and June
 
The Presidential Election: Participation and Voting Intentions

At the end of May and the very beginning of June, when the exact date of the presidential election was still unknown to the overwhelming majority of people in this survey, 84% of them said they wanted to vote in this election, and 72% were certain they would.
The favourite in the election was the incumbent, President Andrzej Duda, with 48.6% support among those intending to vote. After allowing for a margin of error, it can be said with 95% certainty that, if the election were taking place at the same time as the survey, Andrzej Duda would get between 45.6% and 51.5% of the total votes. This leaves open the question of whether a second round would be needed before it was clear who would be elected head of state.
The most serious rival to Andrzej Duda is Rafał Trzaskowski, who only entered the fray a mere few days before the start of this survey but had already gained the support of 16.2% of respondents.
Rysunek 1

More on this subject in the CBOS report.
 
This ‘Current Events and Problems’ survey (359) was conducted on a representative random sample of named adult residents of Poland, using a mixed-mode procedure.
Respondents independently selected one of the following methods:
- Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI);
- Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI), respondents receiving researchers’ telephone numbers in an introductory letter from CBOS;
- Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI), where respondents filled in the online questionnaire independently, gaining access by means of a login and password provided in an introductory letter from CBOS.
In all three cases the questionnaire had the same structure and comprised the same questions. The survey was carried out between 22 May and 4 June 2020 inclusive on a sample of 1308 people (61.6% using the CAPI method, 24.4% CATI and 14% CAWI).
 
  


 
 
 
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For additional information contact CBOS Information Centre
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tel. (0048) 22 625 76 23; fax (0048) 22 629 40 89
www.cbos.pl