21/2025
2025-10-22
Expectations Regarding Karol Nawrocki’s Presidency
At the very start of his presidency Karol Nawrocki inspired more hope (47%) than fears (37%) in his compatriots. Similarly, over a half of those surveyed expected him to be a good president (53%), although for the most part this optimism was guarded. A third of respondents (33%), however, were of the opposite opinion and thought Karol Nawrocki would not make a good head of state.
In an open question about various aspects of life, respondents expressed the most expectations in regard to the atmosphere in which Polish politics are conducted and the state of the country’s political system, calling, above all, for President Nawrocki to bring peace to politics and a de-escalation of conflict. Good cooperation with the current government was also expected.
But will Nawrocki as president fulfil these expectations? Not necessarily: close to half of respondents (47%) thought he would only be the president of the part of the population that supported him, while a slightly smaller proportion, over two fifths (44%), predicted he would try to take into account the opinions of all citizens, including those who did not vote for him in the second round of the election. Opinions were similarly divided regarding the rationale of his decision-making. Over two fifths of respondents (44%) thought he would be motivated only by the good of the country, while only a slightly smaller proportion (42%) was of the opinion that he would mainly be driven by the interests of the political camp from which he had emerged.
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More on this subject in the CBOS report.
This ‘Current Events and Problems’ survey (424) was conducted using a mixed-mode procedure on a representative sample of named adult residents of Poland, randomly selected from the National Identity Number (PESEL) register. Respondents independently selected one of the following methods: Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI); Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI), respondents receiving researchers’ telephone numbers in an introductory letter from CBOS; Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI), where respondents filled in the online questionnaire independently, gaining access by means of a login and password provided in an introductory letter from CBOS. In all three cases the questionnaire had the same structure and comprised the same questions. The survey was carried out between 21 August – 1 September 2025 inclusive on a sample of 971 people (64.6% using the CAPI method, 18.8% CATI and 16.7% CAWI). CBOS has been conducting statutory research using the above procedure since May 2020, stating in each case the percentage of personal, telephone and internet interviews.
